Saturday, August 07, 2010

Too Few Too Big To Fail

In the United States, a bank failure is the closing of a bank by a federal or state banking regulatory agency. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) seizes a bank's assets when its capital levels are too low, or it cannot meet obligations the next day.

The global financial crisis circa 2008 has caused 176 banks to fail as of this writing.

And now more failures are to come-- due to the new US Financial Regulation legislation recently signed into law with its "Pravda-esque" promise of protecting consumers and regulating wall street.

Interesting point #1: Three large financial institutions- the Federal Reserve Bank (a private bank) and Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (quasi-government institutions) are all exempted from the legislation.

Interesting point #2: The stated intent of the legislation was to end taxpayer bailouts of financial institutions deemed too large too fail (TBTF). When in fact, what it has done is relieve politicians the nasty task of openly debating the next bailout in front of the public by establishing a taxpayer funded trust fund to bailout TBTF institutions. Get it? They didn't eliminate the bailouts only the public process was eliminated; the bailouts continue in secret with a private slush fund.

Here is what to watch for in the news:

Sooner or later, the US FED and FANNIE and FREDDIE who all have been buying up collapsing mortgages and mortgage backed securities, will now start forcing the banks that originally cast these bad loans to start covering the losses (i.e. buying them back). When this starts here is what happens:
  1. Banks begin consuming their "loan loss reserves" and become unprofitable and eventually insolvent. Thank god the FDIC has hired hundreds of new auditors to handle a new wave of bank closures.
  2. Banks know this is coming which is why they aren't lending now. They will lend less when the full power of the US government is unleashed upon them.
  3. The last banks standing are the TBTF banks operating with a tax payer funded safety net and everyone who wants money will have to go to them. Because they are now government backed they are quasi-government agencies.
This is how to nationalize the banking system of a country without having to be very public about what you are doing.

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